Have you ever wondered what process avalanche forecasters go through when they are putting together the avalanche hazard rating and the forecast?
The Conceptual Model of Avalanche Hazard is a system for building a hazard forecast. It works through a variety of variables, including what avalanche problems are present and where they are located, and the likelihood and consequence of triggering an avalanche.
Dave Kikkert is going to walk you through the process of developing an avalanche forecast.
Here is a paper about CMAH.
Issue 38.3 of The Avalanche Review has several articles about CMAH.